Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 16.651996 19.293670 22.157017 25.483427 29.233331 33.321497 38.107178
2025-09-14 12.426617 16.119502 20.512092 26.083173 32.917852 40.983775 51.173310
2025-09-21 9.522574 13.538027 18.682642 25.669945 34.812439 46.257903 61.543088
2025-09-28 7.480980 11.520150 17.036831 24.975097 35.930691 50.320282 70.411659
2025-10-05 6.736932 11.073757 17.310851 26.707291 40.227507 58.655147 85.271637
2025-10-12 6.060721 10.578108 17.387644 28.078193 44.039696 66.511813 99.938638
2025-10-19 5.274864 9.765593 16.852074 28.427062 46.326595 72.307142 112.025732
2025-10-26 4.596444 9.005574 16.273307 28.595050 48.281689 77.669413 123.734616
2025-11-02 3.936397 8.162213 15.435514 28.225326 49.316900 81.662095 133.586165
2025-11-09 3.351566 7.352689 14.539054 27.633680 49.897017 84.930007 142.454808
2025-11-16 2.845980 6.604424 13.645021 26.927466 50.186003 87.699509 150.636772
2025-11-23 2.378122 5.847251 12.630731 25.884104 49.784895 89.287455 156.978065
2025-11-30 2.138816 5.552016 12.497609 26.511586 52.470435 96.331674 172.931248
2025-12-07 1.908313 5.240786 12.306129 27.036657 55.070600 103.496177 189.679528
2025-12-14 1.620867 4.738714 11.653953 26.594351 55.867434 107.640977 201.648733
2025-12-21 1.357139 4.233057 10.913147 25.875203 56.058122 110.707557 211.921205
2025-12-28 1.311741 4.274869 11.374139 27.660536 61.152483 122.731418 238.258586
2026-01-04 1.242177 4.237706 11.648617 29.073430 65.615980 133.858891 263.567226
2026-01-11 1.114518 4.010818 11.447327 29.432946 68.003483 141.316022 282.722189
2026-01-18 0.992232 3.770785 11.177878 29.606059 70.012692 148.165741 301.101302
2026-01-25 0.858651 3.462608 10.690860 29.225045 70.830638 152.792609 315.626392
2026-02-01 0.733652 3.147826 10.135590 28.615289 71.100520 156.358865 328.333511
2026-02-08 0.621927 2.845160 9.561486 27.887389 71.040318 159.251683 339.884395